Fortuna Düsseldorf and Paderborn meet at ESPRIT arena, in a match for the 26th round of the Bundesliga. Paderborn got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑10‑2019. In 2 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 1 and tied 1. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.
Analysis of Fortuna Düsseldorf
The home team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Hertha BSC, by (3‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Mainz 05, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 28 conceded. For the league, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 25 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.
Fortuna Dusseldorf come to this game with a 1-1 draw at Mainz 05, thus registering the third straight game without losing in this German championship. Despite this phase, the home club remain in an uncomfortable position in the league table. Manager Christian Gourcuff should favor the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks: Valon Berisha is one of the main responsible for creating the offensive process. Rouwen Hennings is Fortuna Dusseldorf’s top scorer, with 11 goals scored. Even so, it is important to note that the home team have shown flaws in the defensive sector, since they suffered an average of 1.92 goals per game in their stadium. For this match, the home team cannot count on Steffen, Wiesner and Kownacki, all injured.
Analysis of Paderborn
The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Mainz 05, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Köln, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Paderborn has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Paderborn come to this game with a 1-2 home defeat to Köln, registering in this way the fourth straight defeat in this competition. The away team’s situation is worse compared to the opponent of this matchday, as they occupy the last position in the league table. In this away game, coach Steffen Baumgart should play in 4-4-2 with Srbeny and Míchel being the main responsible for tormenting the visitors’ defensive line: the first player is one of the team’s top scorers, with 4 goals scored. If we look at the away games, we can see that the visitors conceded an average of 1.92 goals per game, that is, they show flaws in the most backward sector. Streli Mamba is out of this game due to physical problems.
Betting suggestion: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ odd 1.50
A very important game for both teams. Despite the position in the league table, Fortuna Dusseldorf own a superior squad compared to their opponents, and it is natural that they create several difficulties to score goals. On the other hand, Paderborn should enter the field with careful thought, looking for the counterattack, transition in which they have scored some goals. That said, we believe that betting in favor of the “Both teams to score – Yes” market is of great value.