Paderborn and Köln

Paderborn and Köln face at Benteler‑Arena, in a match for the 25th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑10‑2019, Köln got a home win by (3‑0). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. Although this is a match between 18th and 10th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 17th best in home matches and the 14th best in away matches.

Analysis of Paderborn

After 4 wins, 4 draws and 16 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 16 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Mainz 05 by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑2) an away match against Bayern München. Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches and only 7 at their stadium. For the league, Paderborn won 7 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Paderborn comes very unmotivated for this match after having lost, by 2-0, on the trip to Mainz 05, adding in this way the fifth consecutive match without winning in this German championship. Without major surprises, the home team remains in the relegation zone. In this match against Cologne, coach Steffen Baumgart must choose a very defensive strategy, exploring only the space on the opponent’s back. Even so, the forward Denis Srbeny is one of the highlights of the home team with 5 goals scored. For this match, the coach won’t count on Streli Mamba due to physical problems.

Analysis of Köln

The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 9 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Hertha BSC, by (0‑5). In the last match, they won in a home match against Schalke 04, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 19 points at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 16 goals conceded at home, against 16 goals scored and 26 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Köln has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Cologne comes for this match after a 3-0 victory against Schalke 04, adding the second consecutive victory in this German championship: the team’s goals were signed by Córdoba and Bornauw. Despite playing away, the coach Markus Gisdol must play in the usual tactical system, that is, the 4-3-3, favoring the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks. The forward Jhon Córdoba is the visiting team’s best scorer with 10 goals scored, however, he is an absence due to punishment. Besides this player, the coach won’t count on Czichos, Katterbach, Horn and Kessler, players who are recovering from injury.

Betting suggestion: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ odd 1.51

The focus of the Paderborn team is on winning and leaving the relegation zone, however, in this match they will face a complicated task. We recall that the visiting team comes for this fixture after two consecutive victories, one of them away against Hertha by 0-5. On the other hand, Paderborn wants to surprise their opponent, and it is expectable that in some moments they will risk everything in the attack. So, and taking into account the challenge markets, we found a lot of value in the “Over 2.5 Goals” in this match.

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