Troyes and Paris meet at Stade de l’Aube, in a match for the 28th round of the Ligue 2. Paris got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 04‑10‑2019. Curiously, the head‑to‑head history favours Paris, since in the last 4 matches they register 3 wins and 1 draw. Although this is a match between 3rd and 17th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 5th best in home matches and the 12th best in away matches.
Analysis of Troyes
After 16 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, havinf won 50 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Orléans by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Auxerre. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 26 points in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 24 points won at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Troyes has a record of 7 wins and 3 losses, so they have won 21 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.
Troyes often gets good results and that leaves the team firm and strong in the fight for access. They know that to continue in this fight, they will have to maintain regularity, as there is a strong balance at the top of the table. They will not be able to lose points in their domains, especially for someone from the bottom of the table. However, they owe respect to their opponent, as they have been showing growth in the competition. In this match, Rui Pires will be left out for being in the medical department.
Analysis of Paris
The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 27 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Clermont, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Lens, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 16 points in away matches and 11 at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 22 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 17 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Paris has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76’‑90′).
Paris’ fight is still against relegation, but there are reasons to celebrate in the last rounds. The team showed an evolution and even had positive scores, being out of the dangerous zones. The proximity is still great, so they should maintain regularity, in order to achieve their goals. In the current round, they will have to sweat their shirt if they want to score, as the duel will be quite complicated. If they can even draw, they can celebrate. In this match, the best players available will be in the field.
Betting suggestion: Troyes wins ⇒ odd 1.85
Troyes is fighting at the top of the competition, so they should go to the field in order to go head on. Visitors will try to score strong and thus retain the momentum of the principals. We believe that by playing at home, Troyes’ team is favorite, so we will bet on Troyes’ victory until the end of the match.