20:45 AC Milan – Juventus Over 2,5 goals ⇒ odd 1.85
Milan and Juventus face at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for this stage of the Coppa Italia (Semi‑finals). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 11‑11‑2018, in a match for the Serie A, Juventus won by (0‑2). The goals of the match were scored by M. Mandžukić (8′ ) and Cristiano Ronaldo (81′ ) for Juventus. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Milan presents significant differences between home and away results.
Analysis of Milan
The home team comes to this stage of the Coppa Italia (Semi‑finals) after having eliminated: Torino and SPAL. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got an away loss against Internazionale by (4‑2). In the last 10 home matches Milan has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.
AC Milan comes unmotivated for this match after a 4-2 defeat against Inter Milan, adding the third consecutive encounter without winning in official matches: the team’s goals were signed by Ibrahimovic and Rebic. To reach this stage of the Italian Cup, the home club beat SPAL and Torino. In this first leg against Juventus, commander Stefano Pioli should play in the usual 4-2-3-1, benefiting the defensive organization and successive counterattacks. Striker Theo Hernández is AC Milan’s best finisher of the season with 6 initialed goals. Note that the home team exhibit competence in defensive dead balls and in finishing. The main players are available for this round.
Analysis of Juventus
The away team comes to this stage of the Coppa Italia (Semi‑finals) after havinf played in the previous rounds against: Roma and Udinese. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got an away loss against Hellas Verona by (2‑1). In the last 10 away matches Juventus has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90′ in 10 of them. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (76’‑90′).
Juventus enters this game with a defeat, by 2-1, when traveling to Verona’s field, adding the second defeat in the last three games played. In the last game counting for the Italian Cup, the visiting club beat Roma by 3-1. Even when playing away from home, coach Maurizio Sarri is expected to play in the usual tactical system, that is, the 4-3-3, benefiting the maintenance of possession of the ball and the paused attacks. Striker Cristiano Ronaldo is the highlight of Juventus with 23 goals scored in official competitions. It is important to note that the visitors have presented several flaws in the defensive dead balls and in the aerial game. Out of this game due to injury are Khedira, Demiral, Danilo and Douglas Costa, all injured.
Betting suggestion: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ odd 1.85
Juventus is one of the best teams of the Italian football, very strong offensively, dynamic and fast in counterattacks. Thus, and even playing away from home, the away club should dominate and have the best chances to score goals, trying their best to reach the goal in the first minutes and control the rest of the game. On the other hand, AC Milan displays a very interesting game model, where it benefits the attack, however, it usually presents several defensive flaws. Thus, we believe in a very open and lively game, making risking in favor of goals a good option.